Game Result Predictions
Today, February 27

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Clune Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Colorado State (10-18, Road 3-10)	44	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	32%	✔
	Air Force (9-21, Home 3-10)	49	0	+0	50%	Actual: 93 (93)		8	-8	68%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Holmes Convocation Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Louisiana (17-13, Road 8-7)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+0	53%	✘
	Appalachian State (11-19, Home 6-6)	51	0	+0	50%	Actual: 108 (108)		-0	+0	47%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Dave Aaron Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Morehead State (8-20, Road 3-12)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	21%	✔
	Austin Peay (16-12, Home 7-4)	70	0	+0	50%	Actual: 135 (135)		16	-16	79%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Curb Event Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Tennessee Tech (15-13, Road 7-7)	52	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	15%	✔
	Belmont (22-9, Home 13-0)	68	0	+0	50%	Actual: 120 (120)		20	-20	85%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Renaissance Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Southern Illinois (17-14, Road 6-8)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+14	24%	✔
	Bradley (22-8, Home 11-1)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 118 (118)		14	-14	76%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Marriott Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Pepperdine (14-15, Road 5-8)	64	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+10	29%	✔
	BYU (17-11, Home 9-3)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		10	-10	71%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Matadome			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Long Beach State (12-17, Road 2-12)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	47%	✔
	Cal State Northridge (11-19, Home 5-8)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 120 (120)		2	-2	53%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
The HTC Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	ULM (3-26, Road 1-14)	69	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+40	3%	✔
	Coastal Carolina (25-4, Home 12-2)	88	0	+0	50%	Actual: 157 (157)		40	-40	97%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Calihan Hall			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Northern Kentucky (20-12, Road 7-7)	82	0	+0	50%	0	✘	24	-24	88%	✔
	Detroit (3-27, Home 2-12)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 143 (143)		0	+24	12%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reese Court			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Southern Utah (18-13, Road 5-9)	70	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	79%	✔
	Eastern Washington (3-26, Home 2-10)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 137 (137)		0	+16	21%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Alumni Hall			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Rider (28-4, Road 12-2)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	79%	✔
	Fairfield (16-15, Home 10-4)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 128 (128)		0	+16	21%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Exactech Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Carolina (32-1, Road 12-0)	100	0	+0	50%	0	✘	32	-32	94%	✔
	Florida (15-15, Home 9-7)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 167 (167)		0	+32	6%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Clemson (8-23, Road 2-10)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+28	8%	✔
	Florida State (24-8, Home 12-3)	81	0	+0	50%	Actual: 135 (135)		28	-28	92%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Kress Events Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Cleveland State (19-11, Road 11-7)	51	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	26%	✔
	Green Bay (19-13, Home 8-6)	81	0	+0	50%	Actual: 132 (132)		12	-12	74%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cowan Spectrum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Northern Colorado (13-18, Road 8-8)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	16%	✔
	Idaho (22-10, Home 10-2)	70	0	+0	50%	Actual: 135 (135)		20	-20	84%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Redbird Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Missouri State (26-5, Road 11-4)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	61%	✘
	Illinois State (20-11, Home 11-3)	78	0	+0	50%	Actual: 144 (144)		0	+4	39%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Assembly Hall			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Nebraska (17-13, Road 2-8)	53	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	14%	✔
	Indiana (24-8, Home 11-4)	81	0	+0	50%	Actual: 134 (134)		20	-20	86%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hynes Athletics Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Canisius (5-25, Road 1-14)	72	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	31%	✔
	Iona (9-21, Home 3-10)	78	0	+0	50%	Actual: 150 (150)		8	-8	69%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Carver-Hawkeye Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Minnesota (16-15, Road 6-6)	82	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	18%	✔
	Iowa (23-7, Home 15-0)	90	0	+0	50%	Actual: 172 (172)		16	-16	82%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Georgia (17-14, Road 4-5)	77	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+10	30%	✔
	Kentucky (22-8, Home 14-3)	88	0	+0	50%	Actual: 165 (165)		10	-10	70%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Boston College (20-12, Road 7-6)	48	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	19%	✔
	Louisville (28-4, Home 13-1)	68	0	+0	50%	Actual: 116 (116)		16	-16	81%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pete Maravich Assembly Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Vanderbilt (14-16, Road 3-7)	55	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	18%	✔
	LSU (20-10, Home 12-2)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 116 (116)		16	-16	82%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hawkins Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Western Carolina (3-25, Road 1-12)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	21%	✔
	Mercer (7-23, Home 5-8)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 114 (114)		16	-16	79%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Klotsche Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Youngstown State (11-17, Road 4-11)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	21%	✔
	Milwaukee (14-16, Home 10-5)	59	0	+0	50%	Actual: 113 (113)		16	-16	79%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Humphrey Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Arkansas (24-8, Road 5-4)	83	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	31%	✔
	Mississippi State (27-6, Home 12-2)	92	0	+0	50%	Actual: 175 (175)		8	-8	69%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Mizzou Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Auburn (11-18, Road 2-9)	95	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+0	50%	✘
	Missouri (9-22, Home 5-10)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 177 (177)		0	+0	50%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
OceanFirst Bank Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Siena (11-20, Road 3-13)	43	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+0	49%	✘
	Monmouth (9-22, Home 4-8)	49	0	+0	50%	Actual: 92 (92)		0	+0	51%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Dahlberg Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Northern Arizona (16-15, Road 7-8)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	44%	✔
	Montana (15-13, Home 8-5)	70	0	+0	50%	Actual: 127 (127)		4	-4	56%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Worthington Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Sacramento State (6-22, Road 4-12)	69	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+36	4%	✔
	Montana State (24-6, Home 10-2)	113	0	+0	50%	Actual: 182 (182)		36	-36	96%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
CFSB Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Eastern Kentucky (10-18, Road 6-9)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	32%	✔
	Murray State (12-16, Home 8-4)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		8	-8	68%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pan American Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Grand Canyon (13-13, Road 5-7)	58	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	39%	✔
	New Mexico State (11-19, Home 7-7)	69	0	+0	50%	Actual: 127 (127)		4	-4	61%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reynolds Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Syracuse (16-15, Road 3-7)	60	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	15%	✔
	North Carolina State (28-4, Home 13-3)	69	0	+0	50%	Actual: 129 (129)		20	-20	85%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Scheels Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Dakota State (22-10, Road 8-4)	85	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	80%	✔
	North Dakota State (9-19, Home 4-9)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 143 (143)		0	+16	20%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Purcell Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	North Carolina (16-14, Road 2-8)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+10	29%	✔
	Notre Dame (13-18, Home 6-9)	83	0	+0	50%	Actual: 148 (148)		10	-10	71%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Athletics Center O'rena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wright State (18-12, Road 9-5)	77	0	+0	50%	0	✘	14	-14	76%	✔
	Oakland (9-19, Home 4-7)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 137 (137)		0	+14	24%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Baxter Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	North Dakota (13-15, Road 8-8)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	66%	✔
	Omaha (5-23, Home 3-10)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 138 (138)		0	+8	34%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Mabee Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Western Illinois (12-15, Road 4-9)	60	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	31%	✔
	Oral Roberts (13-16, Home 9-3)	71	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		8	-8	69%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Alex G. Spanos Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	San Francisco (12-19, Road 4-8)	67	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+10	30%	✘
	Pacific (17-14, Home 9-4)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 128 (128)		10	-10	70%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bryce Jordan Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Michigan (21-11, Road 6-5)	80	0	+0	50%	0	✘	24	-24	88%	✔
	Penn State (7-23, Home 5-11)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 146 (146)		0	+24	12%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Viking Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Idaho State (16-13, Road 8-7)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	58%	✔
	Portland State (15-16, Home 7-6)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		0	+4	42%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hilliard Gates Sports Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Denver (14-15, Road 4-7)	85	0	+0	50%	0	✘	18	-18	83%	✔
	Purdue Fort Wayne (3-24, Home 2-10)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 152 (152)		0	+18	17%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
TD Bank Sports Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Saint Peter's (9-21, Road 3-13)	69	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	14%	✔
	Quinnipiac (16-15, Home 8-7)	70	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		20	-20	86%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Rutgers Athletic Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wisconsin (12-19, Road 3-9)	43	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+22	13%	✔
	Rutgers (22-9, Home 14-2)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 106 (106)		22	-22	87%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
McKeon Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Santa Clara (11-19, Road 4-10)	94	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	45%	✘
	Saint Mary's College (12-19, Home 7-8)	87	0	+0	50%	Actual: 181 (181)		2	-2	55%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pete Hanna Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	UNCG (20-9, Road 8-6)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+6	38%	✔
	Samford (17-14, Home 5-5)	69	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		6	-6	62%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Jenny Craig Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Loyola-Marymount (6-25, Road 3-11)	50	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+26	9%	✔
	San Diego (19-11, Home 11-5)	54	0	+0	50%	Actual: 104 (104)		26	-26	91%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Viejas Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Nevada (14-16, Road 3-10)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	43%	✔
	San Diego State (13-17, Home 8-8)	81	0	+0	50%	Actual: 149 (149)		4	-4	57%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Show Me Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Eastern Illinois (18-12, Road 8-6)	56	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	22%	✔
	Southeast Missouri (23-7, Home 10-1)	72	0	+0	50%	Actual: 128 (128)		16	-16	78%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Thompson-Boling Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Ole Miss (7-23, Road 0-10)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+32	6%	✔
	Tennessee (21-10, Home 13-3)	77	0	+0	50%	Actual: 143 (143)		32	-32	94%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Gentry Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Jacksonville State (12-16, Road 4-9)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	79%	✔
	Tennessee State (2-24, Home 1-13)	45	0	+0	50%	Actual: 108 (108)		0	+16	21%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Skyhawk Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	SIUE (3-25, Road 1-12)	58	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+40	3%	✔
	Tennessee-Martin (22-10, Home 13-1)	75	0	+0	50%	Actual: 133 (133)		40	-40	97%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reed Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Alabama (18-12, Road 7-4)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	28%	✘
	Texas A&M (22-8, Home 14-2)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		12	-12	72%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Strahan Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Georgia Southern (10-20, Road 4-13)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	34%	✔
	Texas State (11-17, Home 7-6)	72	0	+0	50%	Actual: 140 (140)		8	-8	66%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bren Events Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Hawaii (16-15, Road 5-8)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	-0	+0	48%	✘
	UC Irvine (12-18, Home 7-4)	72	0	+0	50%	Actual: 143 (143)		0	+0	52%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
SRC Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Cal State Fullerton (17-14, Road 8-7)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	64%	✔
	UC Riverside (8-22, Home 6-7)	45	0	+0	50%	Actual: 113 (113)		0	+8	36%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cox Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	San Jose State (18-12, Road 7-6)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	58%	✔
	UNLV (13-17, Home 9-7)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		0	+4	42%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
College Park Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Georgia State (8-21, Road 2-11)	32	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+24	11%	✔
	UTA (21-11, Home 12-4)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 90 (90)		24	-24	89%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Dee Glen Smith Spectrum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	New Mexico (14-17, Road 6-6)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	58%	✔
	Utah State (7-23, Home 3-10)	52	0	+0	50%	Actual: 106 (106)		0	+4	42%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
UTRGV Fieldhouse			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Cal State Bakersfield (14-14, Road 4-9)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	-0	+0	47%	✘
	UTRGV (9-17, Home 7-4)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		0	+0	53%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
John Paul Jones Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Pittsburgh (5-26, Road 0-12)	55	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	14%	✔
	Virginia (13-17, Home 9-5)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 121 (121)		20	-20	86%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cassell Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Duke (18-12, Road 6-8)	56	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	46%	✔
	Virginia Tech (21-9, Home 13-2)	70	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		2	-2	54%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Lawrence Joel Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Miami (FL) (15-15, Road 2-8)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	42%	✘
	Wake Forest (16-16, Home 9-6)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 142 (142)		4	-4	58%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Arena-Auditorium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Fresno State (23-7, Road 9-4)	55	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+0	53%	✘
	Wyoming (16-12, Home 9-5)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 119 (119)		-0	+0	47%